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By Alfred Tha Hla
Thailand has won the `Detroit of Asia' mantle from its regional
neighbours hands-down after reaching unprecedented milestones _ annual sales
of 700,000 units, one million locally assembled units achieved by late November
2005 and becoming a global production and export hub for one-tonne pickup trucks.
According to data compiled by Isuzu and Toyota, the industry
enjoyed sales of 625,556 new vehicles for the period from January to November
2005, representing 13.2% growth over the same period in 2004.
The pickup segment accounts for 62.4% of the market versus
25.9% for passenger cars where sales declined 11.8% year-on-year. The sports
utility vehicle (SUV) market share rose to 5.9% thanks to strong sales of the
Toyota Fortuner which allowed the segment to grow by a massive 136.5% year-on-year.
Industry forecasts of sales of 680,000 to 690,000 units should
be nudged up to 700,000 units by the end of 2005 by virtue of 63,222 unit sales
the traditional year-end surge that could bring in 70,000 units or more.
The high season, however, faces a slew of negatives such as
higher inflation and fuel prices hovering at more than 23 baht per litre _ but
sales will hold up due to the introduction of new models in the passenger car
lineup such as the Toyota Soluna Vios, the Ford Focus and Honda Civic.
In late November 2005, Thailand became the 14th country to
have achieved one million locally-assembled units. By the end of 2005, the total
should have reached 1.15 million comprising 700,000 units for the domestic market
and 450,000 for export.
Thailand is poised to move ahead of Russia (about 1.3 million
units) in 2006. The Industry Ministry is predicting the locally assembled figure
to grow to two million units from a previous target of 1.8 million by 2010.
Thailand's automotive export rank has climbed to seventh spot
globally.
Meanwhile, becoming the global production and export hub for
one-tonne pickup trucks was easily within Thailand's grasp once Toyota's Innovative
International Multi-Purpose Vehicle (IMV) project, Isuzu's pickup production
line relocation and Ford-Mazda's AutoAlliance factory got things rolling.
Isuzu has implemented aggressive export policies with its D-Max
pickup but it is still playing ``catch-up'' in new markets such as Spain and
England.
Toyota's 30-billion-baht IMV project is bearing fruit with
cost savings derived from a common platform for a variety of vehicle models
in as number of markets around the world.
Pending free trade area (FTA) negotiations between Thailand
and the United States, there is also a possibility that Ford's new Ranger could
be shipped from Thailand to American shores.
Analysts say the domestic market will continue to display a
high degree of resilience to external factors working against the automobile
industry.
A conservative estimate might see a 10-13% sales growth rate
that would enable the market to absorb approximately 770,000 ro 790,000 units
in 2006.
ONE-TON PICKUP TRUCKS
2005 was a year of firsts and the pickup segment was no exception,
obliterating the 400,000-unit mark for the first time.
Based on 11-month sales of 390,039 units and an estimated 50,000
or more in December 2005 to close the fourth quarter, the domestic market could
absorb as many as 450,000 pickups.
The segment expanded by 21.5% from Jer">Automobiles: Truly the 'Detroit of Asia'
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